8

Lynx D'urzy
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Antiope - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Salon-De-Provence | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 24/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 20/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |