14
L'amiral Chatault
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Daphne - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Reims | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 5-18 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 02/12/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 23/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 23/03/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |