8
L'express De Play
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Daphne - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#12
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Caen | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Nantes | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 9-18 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 53% | +0.11 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/12/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 03/01/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 65% | -0.12 |
| 02/03/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 19/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |