12

Le Cap

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Daphne - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#16

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 21/05/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 021/05C?C0 @ Vichy 27/08/2024 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 29/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 029/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 19/01/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 02/02/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 02/02C?C0 @ Cabourg 22/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 09/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 09/08C?C0 @ Cabourg 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 05 @ Vichy 19/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 019/095projClass-projected finish: 16th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Vichy56th6th0
2026-09-01Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2025-08-24Beaumont-De-Lomagne?0
2025-08-09Enghien?11th11th0
2025-07-22Cabourg?11th11th0
2025-04-04Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0519/019/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 2-14 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength57%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20247th12/137%50%+0.13
27/08/20246th22/10%58%+0.58
29/12/20246th80/10%55%+0.55
19/01/20259th80/10%27%+0.27
02/02/20259th25/10%20%+0.20
22/07/202511th100/10%17%+0.17
09/08/202511th50/10%9%+0.09
01/09/20262nd40/10%92%+0.92
19/09/20266th20/10%67%+0.67