12

Le Cap
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Daphne - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#16
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Vichy | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-09 | Enghien | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-07-22 | Cabourg | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-04-04 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 2-14 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 27/08/2024 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 29/12/2024 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 19/01/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 02/02/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/07/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 09/08/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |