7

Loup Solitaire
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Daphne - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Pornichet | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Graignes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Chartres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 2-18 · tight 30/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +8.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/01/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 10/02/2026 | 6th | 5/6 | 96% | 29% | -0.67 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 85% | +0.11 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |