17
Louviers
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Daphne - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Laval | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Chartres | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 5/6 | 96% | 36% | -0.59 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 59% | +0.43 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 24/09/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |