5
Kenidille
6yo Mare · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Nysa - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Chatelaillon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2024 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 09/05/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 1/2 | 97% | 71% | -0.26 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |