7
Kentucky Danica
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Nysa - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
91%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 7 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 90/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 92% | -0.00 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |