9
Kiss Me Julry
6yo Mare · 9-10
Vincennes · Prix Nysa - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Nancy | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 8-11 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 11/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 93% | -0.02 |
| 04/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 19/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 92% | -0.00 |
| 25/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.00 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 85% | -0.11 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |