9
Ignace Gueneserie
8yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 9
Vincennes · Prix Kolga - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#14
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 18 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-24 | Laval | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 4-16 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/12/2024 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 16/01/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 15/02/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 28/02/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 24/04/2025 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 04/09/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 22/09/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |