15
Illytrass
8yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 15
Vincennes · Prix Kolga - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-22 | Agen | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Marseille-borely | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-16 | Marseille-borely | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2024 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/11/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 30/11/2024 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.87 |
| 09/01/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 16/05/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 23/09/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.77 |
| 22/03/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |