16
Ipsos Marancourt
8yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 16
Vincennes · Prix Kolga - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#12
Rank
Odds
75/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | Mauquenchy | 7 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-19 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-30 | Enghien | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-02-21 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-02-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-01-23 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 10-16 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength19%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2024 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 02/06/2024 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 91% | +0.03 |
| 04/07/2024 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/01/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/02/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 21/02/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 30/04/2025 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 19/08/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 21/01/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |