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4

Iron Meslois

8yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 4

Vincennes · Prix Kolga - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 08/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 08/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 24/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 31/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 031/12C?3 @ Vincennes 17/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01 @ Vincennes 25/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 025/011C0 @ Vincennes 16/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03 @ Vincennes 27/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 027/0333 @ Marseille-borely 07/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 02 @ Marseille-borely 15/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 015/052projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-15Marseille-borely211th11th0
2026-05-07Marseille-borely311th11th0
2026-03-27Vincennes36th6th0
2026-03-04Amiens?0
2026-02-16Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-01-25Vincennes111th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1217/0127/0315/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 2-11 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength64%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/12/20249th28/10%0%0.00
24/12/20258th50/10%50%+0.50
31/12/20256th40/10%64%+0.64
17/01/202610th28/10%31%+0.31
25/01/202611th66/10%29%+0.29
16/02/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
27/03/20266th40/10%58%+0.58
07/05/202611th33/10%23%+0.23
15/05/202611th25/10%9%+0.09