12
Isidoro Didan
8yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 12
Vincennes · Prix Kolga - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#16
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Nantes | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-15 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-21 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Pornichet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-30 | Cordemais | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 19/12/2024 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 17/01/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 26/01/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 22/02/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 30/03/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 12/01/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 09/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |