13
Jafar De Fael
7yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 13
Vincennes · Prix Kolga - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#13
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Toulouse | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-17 | Agen | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-06 | Toulouse | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-11 | Toulouse | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-14 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 13-16 · tight 82/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2024 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/10/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 12/11/2024 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/01/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 46% | +0.04 |
| 12/02/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 06/03/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 46% | -0.01 |
| 14/03/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 18/09/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |