5
Jismie Griff
7yo Mare · 0-0 · Draw 5
Vincennes · Prix Kolga - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C10.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 18 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 18 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Nantes | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 5-16 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 01/12/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/12/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 13/02/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |