3
Nasco De Mire
3yo Gelding · 0-0 · Draw 3
Vincennes · Prix Menippe - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#11
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Vincennes | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 5-14 · tight 46/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -29.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 18/09/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |