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10

Nelson De Guelle

3yo Colt · 0-0 · Draw 10

Vincennes · Prix Menippe - Attele · 1m 2f 96y

#2

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 06/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 06/07C?7 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 025/077C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 19/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 019/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Cagnes-sur-Mer?1st1st0
2026-07-25Cagnes-sur-Mer73rd3rd0
2026-07-06Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0725/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 12-14 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -29.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20265th66/10%71%+0.71
25/07/20263rd8/158%80%+0.22
19/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13