14
Fronsac De Bomo
11yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Betelgeuse - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-20 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2024 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 17/10/2024 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 29/04/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/05/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/08/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 21/04/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 01/07/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |