12
Horace Du Vivier
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Betelgeuse - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#9
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Saint-Malo | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-04 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 5-16 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 02/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 20/02/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 12/05/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 25/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 11/08/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/08/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |