4
Ibernatus
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Betelgeuse - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-21 | La Capelle | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-06 | La Capelle | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-11-01 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-09-23 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-04-14 | Chartres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-03-04 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2023 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 26/06/2023 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 01/08/2023 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 01/11/2023 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 04/03/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 01/11/2024 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 06/04/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 21/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |