6
Idole Du Moncel
8yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Betelgeuse - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 7 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Marseille | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-27 | Mauquenchy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-30 | Amiens | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-17 | Enghien | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2023 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 59% | +0.11 |
| 02/10/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 25/10/2024 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/01/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 05/02/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 20/06/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 27/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |