8
Jive Boy
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Betelgeuse - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#14
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Nancy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Vincennes | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Mauquenchy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 4-16 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength40%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 21/07/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 18/12/2025 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 21/01/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 26/01/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/09/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |