11
Kontessa Dream
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Betelgeuse - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | La Capelle | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Marseille-borely | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-08 | Craon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-27 | Les Sables | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Cherbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 30/03/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 93% | -0.03 |
| 11/04/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 04/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 85% | +0.08 |
| 02/06/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 13/06/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 21/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |