17:39 · Fort Erie

Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming

1mGoing TBC3YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 626/1
Little Iris silks

Pan Am Racing

4yo Filly · 8-8

Pass The Buck - Soft Cheese (Quality Road)

Juan Crawford60%1/1Steven Cathcart60%
621281
9.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

2/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par2/0223/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/03 · mark par7/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par21/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 43%2/02Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%7/04Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%11/05Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%21/06
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
2
OR 719/2
Knotty And Nice silks

John Brown

6yo Mare · 8-10

Big Screen - Knotty Pine (Pivotal)

Kirk Johnson60%1/8Julie Mathes60%
221614
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

23/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par23/067/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par22/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par30/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par25/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par6/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 83%23/06Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%22/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%25/10Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%6/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 656/1
Iron Pyrite silks

David Mathes

5yo Mare · 8-8

Goldencents - Wily (Street Cry)

Xarel Forde60%1/2Julie Mathes60%
058561
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

13/12 · C7 · finish vs mark below13/12 · mark par13/127/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/01 · mark par26/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par9/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par29/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%13/12Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%26/03Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%29/06Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%12/07
Projected finish3rd of 7
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Market Fav4
OR 723/1
Candid Candace silks

Roberto, Joseph I And Cathcart, Steven

5yo Mare · 8-8

Collected - Miss Emilia (War Front)

Alexis Sanchez60%0/1Steven Cathcart60%
326642
6.0

Class Advantage

4/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par4/1025/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par7/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par2/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par15/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%4/10Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 83%7/11Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%15/05Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%21/06
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 7220/1
Silent Patsy silks

Scott Simmons

5yo Mare · 8-8

Silent Name - El Pradiva (El Prado)

Luis Contreras60%Valerie Thompson
653315
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

7/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/0731/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par30/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par13/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%7/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%22/08Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%13/10Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%6/07
Projected finish5th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
7
OR 6210/1
My Cash Factor silks

Nancy Raghunath

4yo Filly · 8-10

The Factor - Miss Blakely (Smart Strike)

Steve JadooEric Raghunath60%
103535
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

23/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par23/1015/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par12/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par22/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par5/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%23/10Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%12/12Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%5/06Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%5/07
Projected finish6th of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
6
OR 839/1
Voice From Above silks

Beckham Ranch And Law, Blair

5yo Mare · 8-10

Audible - How Far To Heaven (Distorted Humor)

Keveh Nicholls60%0/2Philip Hall60%
232565
3.0

Class Advantage

4/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par4/1025/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par15/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par8/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par22/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%4/10Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%15/11Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 17%22/05Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%26/06
Projected finish7th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend