14:24 · Ripon

Weatherbys Bloodstock Pro Fillies' Handicap

5fGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 715/1
Zoustar Dreams silks

Ed Dunlop Racing Club Ii

3yo Filly · 9-6

Zoustar - A Huge Dream (Refuse To Bend)

Jack Callan60%1/2E A L Dunlop70%
471141
8.0
Cheek pieces

Dominated from the front when winning back-to-back handicaps at Catterick and Lingfield in late May/early June. Not quite as effective over 6f at Newmarket next time but right back to her best when beating 6 rivals at Nottingham (5f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Should go well again after 5 lb rise.

Class Advantage

28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par28/0419/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%28/04Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 45%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%30/05Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%20/06Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish1st of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
Value2
OR 685/1
Marajito silks

Mr D A West & Partner

4yo Filly · 9-6

Ardad - Midnight Mojito (Azamour)

O McSweeney1/1T D Easterby
051654
5.0Class ↓3

Best effort this year when winning C&D handicap in late May and chased home a trio of 3-y-os when 3½ lengths fourth of 7 to Zoustar Dreams at Nottingham (5f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Will need to step forward again to land this.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par2/109/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%2/10Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%28/05Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%5/07Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%18/07
Projected finish2nd of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
3
OR 747/1
Angel Numbers silks

Grange Park Racing Xviii And Ruth Carr

3yo Filly · 9-9

Profitable - First Smile (Dark Angel)

J P Sullivan60%1/1Mrs R Carr
527741
6.0Class ↓3

Headstrong sort who posted 2 good runner-up efforts for Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole in the spring and right back to form after joining this yard for 12,000 gns when winning 9-runner handicap at Thirsk (5f, good to firm) 18 days ago. Should go well again after 4 lb rise.

Class Advantage

30/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/0327/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 43%30/03Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%23/05Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%27/06Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%16/07
Projected finish3rd of 5
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 7217/2
Creative Queen silks

Wathnan Racing

3yo Filly · 9-7

Mitole - Vigui's Heart (Quality Road)

Cieren Fallon70%1/2W J Haggas60%
262177
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Clear best effort when getting off the mark in a novice over 6f at Yarmouth in May, making all. Disappointing in 2 handicaps since, not for the first time looking a hard ride at Carlisle last month (pulled hard/carried head awkwardly). Cheekpieces replace blinkers now.

Class Advantage

26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/096/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par9/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par9/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 50%26/09Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 55%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%28/04Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 45%23/06Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 14%9/07
Projected finish4th of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Market Fav5
OR 694/1
North West Gal silks

JJ Quinn Racing Ltd

3yo Filly · 9-4

Territories - Albertine Rose (Namid)

Jason Hart60%0/4J & S Quinn60%
323159
4.0

Didn't need to improve to get off the mark at the fourth attempt in 5f maiden at Newcastle in November. Raced too freely and failed to come on for her reappearance when ninth of 11 in handicap at this course (6f, good, 4/1) 67 days ago.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/1028/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par28/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%14/10Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%24/11Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 43%11/05Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%28/05
Projected finish5th of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend