IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. windsor
  3. race-4

18:30 · Windsor

Happy Birthday Tyne Patterson Fillies' Handicap

6f 12yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 579/2
Lahina Bay silks

Mrs Daphne Finch

Lahina Bay

6yo Mare · 8-10

Cracksman - Serendipitously (Kodiac)

Alexandra Egan60%0/1−7lbR Cook & J Bridger60%
365327
5.0

Three-time winner in 2025, including C&D. Back on form when placed in recent months but latest Salisbury seventh was a below-par effort.

Class Advantage

3/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/01 · mark par3/0124/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par30/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 12y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%3/01Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%30/05Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 75%11/07Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%25/07
Projected finish1st of 5
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav3
OR 7211/4
Saucy Jane silks

Nick Bradley Racing 16 And Jmr Partner

Saucy Jane

3yo Filly · 9-7

Lope Y Fernandez - Sea Horn (Fastnet Rock)

George Wood60%Jack Morland60%
842616
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Gained a first handicap success at Thirsk (6f, good to firm) last month. A very slow start offers an excuse for a lesser run at Bath since. Might prove the answer.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par27/0412/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par2/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 12y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 13%27/04Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 86%2/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%15/07
Projected finish2nd of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
Value2
OR 6815/2
Q T Pie silks

Mr W Clifford

Q T Pie

3yo Filly · 9-3

Cable Bay - Elegant Love (Delegator)

William Carson60%1/5Tom Dascombe60%
514929
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

C&D maiden winner on good to firm for the Kublers last summer. Good second of 9 in handicap at Goodwood (6f, heavy) on return for new yard. In nothing like the same form when ninth at Leicester since but may bounce back in first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0726/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par22/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 12y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%10/07Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%30/08Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%12/06Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%4/07
Projected finish3rd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 75100/1
Independent Expert silks

Mr J Pook

Independent Expert

7yo Mare · 10-0

Gutaifan - Distinguish (Refuse To Bend)

Finley Marsh70%0/2J & S Best60%
855689
2.0Class ↓4

Scored over 7f at Naas for Denis Hogan in March but hasn't reproduced that since, including in 3 runs for new yard last month. Could only consider if backed.

Class Advantage

22/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par22/0420/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par26/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par1/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par20/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 12y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 30%22/04Pos 5 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 5 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 56%26/05Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%20/07Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 20%24/07
Projected finish4th of 5
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 6220/1
Havana Halo silks

Mr R F Haynes

Havana Halo

4yo Filly · 9-1

Havana Grey - If I Were A Boy (Invincible Spirit)

Oisin Murphy70%0/1D J S Ffrench Davis
564706
2.0

Lightly-raced maiden who has shaped as if needing both outings since returning from an absence and the presence of Oisin Murphy in the saddle now suggests she might be expected to last longer this time.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/0522/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par7/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/10 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 12y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 64%12/05Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 11/5 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 11/5 | Actual: 57%6/08Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 9%23/06Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%13/07
Projected finish5th of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend