15:00 · Ffos Las

Ken Meredith Memorial Race Handicap (Div 2)

7f 80yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 5514/1
Kaleidoscope Eyes silks

Mrs C C Diamond

4yo Filly · 9-6

No Nay Never - Fantasy In Blue (Galileo)

R P Downey60%B J Llewellyn
319043
6.0Class ↓3

C&D winner last autumn and back in good form of late, just edged out when a strong-travelling third of 9 over C&D 3 weeks ago. Runner-up has gone in since so she's a player off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage

2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/0928/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par20/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/10 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par14/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%2/09Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%20/10Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 57%30/06Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%14/07
Projected finish1st of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Market Fav2
OR 595/2
Rosemary's Rose silks

Middleham Park Racing Cvii

4yo Filly · 9-10

Belardo - Escallonia (Arcano)

Oisin Murphy70%B R Millman
956223
6.0

Dual 1m all-weather winner in the winter. In good nick of late too, runner-up over 1m here before third of 10 in 7f all-weather handicap at Lingfield 22 days ago. Can make her presence felt with Oisin Murphy now up.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par8/0420/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par22/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%8/04Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%22/05Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%17/06Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 78%13/07
Projected finish2nd of 9
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
4
OR 6311/2
Piazza silks

Highclere Thoroughbred Racing - Willow

3yo Filly · 9-8

Starspangledbanner - Indigo Angel (Dark Angel)

Tom Marquand70%Ollie Sangster
433457
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Encouraging fifth on return at Kempton (7f) in June and best excused latest run (held up off a steady pace) when seventh at Epsom (7f) over 2 weeks ago. Remains with some potential.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0516/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par29/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength82%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 0%4/05Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%7/08Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%29/06Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 14%16/07
Projected finish3rd of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
5
OR 6214/1
Manhattan Mirage silks

Michelle Hancox & Partner

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Inns Of Court - Vida Amorosa (Lope De Vega)

Finley Marsh70%0/1A Wintle
686067
3.0
Hood

Maiden who probably needed the run after 9 months off when seventh of 10 in handicap at Bath in June. Back up in trip and can take a step forward now.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par3/0630/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par25/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par15/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%3/06Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%28/07Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%15/09Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%5/06
Projected finish4th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
9
OR 5940/1
Cosmic Jive silks

David Ward

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Starman - Hat (Hat Trick)

K Shoemark60%0/1E Walker
878
3.0

Starman gelding who has yet to offer much in 3 runs, eighth of 12 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7f) 37 days ago. Handicap debutant.

Class Advantage

30/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/039/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0628/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength71%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 13%30/03Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%9/06Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 36%28/06
Projected finish5th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 645/1
March Of Time silks

Mr J C Smith

3yo Filly · 9-9

Invincible Spirit - Time Over (Mark Of Esteem)

Rossa Ryan80%C G Cox
345
5.0
Hood

Has twice failed to build on her debut Windsor third, hooded for 1st time when fifth of 8 in maiden at Nottingham (6f, good to firm) 14 days ago. Back up in trip for her handicap debut and could still do better.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0611/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0721/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength86%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%1/06Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%11/07Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%21/07
Projected finish6th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 6550/1
Speculative silks

Mr D R Passant

3yo Filly · 9-10

Wootton Bassett - Helvezia (Holy Roman Emperor)

William Cox0/1Tom Dascombe
7489
3.0Class ↓4

Lightly-raced maiden. Ridden patiently when only ninth of 14 on her handicap debut at Salisbury (7f, good to soft) in May. Needs to take a big step forward.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0624/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/074/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0523/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength88%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%24/06Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 63%24/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 30%4/05Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%23/05
Projected finish7th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
8
OR 5420/1
Iconic Dawn silks

Caveat Emptor Partnership

3yo Filly · 8-13

Twilight Son - Quaint (Dandy Man)

Lewis Edmunds60%H Morrison80%
035007
2.0
1st Blinkers +3

Modest maiden. Poorly drawn when a non-staying seventh of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton 2 weeks ago. Blinkers on 1st time and may still do better back in trip.

Class Advantage

5/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/083/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par23/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%5/08Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 56%16/09Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 23%23/05Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%21/07
Projected finish8th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
6
OR 6514/1
Venturing silks

The Malvern Hills Racing Syndicate

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Holy Roman Emperor - Delicate Charm (High Chaparral)

William Carson60%A W Carroll
7944
3.0

Lightly-raced maiden for Donnacha O'Brien. Last of 4 in handicap at Newbury (1m, firm) for new yard 33 days ago. Lots more required.

Class Advantage

22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/0918/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/1013/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/022/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%22/09Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%18/10Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 73%13/02Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%2/07
Projected finish9th of 9
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend