7
Hakin Adraar
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 50
Brighton · Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap · 5f 60y
#7
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Yarmouth | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 6 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 21/08/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 13/09/2025 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/06/2026 | 15th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |