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13:20 · Newmarket

Knight Frank East Anglia Apprentice Handicap

1mGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market Fav2
OR 621/1
Just Typical silks

Mascalls Stud

Just Typical

5yo Gelding · 9-5

Territories - Just Like A Woman (Observatory)

Ryan Kavanagh80%3/13Ian Williams60%
355843
5.0Going 8.0
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

5-time winner last year and stepped forward from his recent run when fourth of 7 over C&D in June. Failed to justify favouritism in a class 6 when third of 5 at Chepstow last month, but is now back down to his last winning mark.

Class Advantage

13/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/12 · mark par13/1220/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par10/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/01 · mark par10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par8/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%13/12Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%10/01Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%26/06Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 50%8/07
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Top Pick1
OR 7010/3
Panelli silks

Mrs J Morley And Partner

Panelli

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Kingman - Via Condotti (Galileo)

C R Lyons60%−7lbS C Williams80%
842244
5.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Opened account at Lingfield in September on final run for George Boughey. Runner-up twice on all-weather early this year and, after 5-month break, has possibly been working his way back in 2 starts on turf last month. Interesting with visor added (took well to headgear as a 3-y-o).

Class Advantage

18/12 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/12 · mark par18/124/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/01 · mark par21/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/01 · mark par12/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 46%18/12Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 86%21/01Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%9/07Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%23/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
4
OR 705/2
Home Hero silks

Sustainable Building Sevices(uk) & Owe

Home Hero

3yo Gelding · 9-12

El Kabeir - Lady's Purse (Doyen)

Toby Moore60%−7lbH Palmer70%
443891
6.0
Visor

Switched to a visor and dropped back to 1m, showed much improved form when getting off the mark in 6-runner handicap at Sandown 8 days ago, pulling clear with a progressive type. Can make his presence felt under a penalty.

Class Advantage

27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/084/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 70%27/08Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%30/05Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 13%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%2/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%29/07
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
6
OR 683/1
Stormy Music silks

Mr J C Smith

Stormy Music

3yo Filly · 9-4

Night Of Thunder - Foxtrot Lady (Foxwedge)

Alfie Redman−7lbA M Balding60%
6863
4.0

Ran to a fair level in her qualifying runs, before taking a step forward sent handicapping when third of 8 at Lingfield (7f, firm) 15 days ago. Well-bred filly who could yet do better as she goes up in trip.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0815/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/052/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0722/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%28/08Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%15/05Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%2/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%22/07
Projected finish4th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
3
OR 6617/2
Born A Rebel silks

Mr Patrick Owens

Born A Rebel

5yo Mare · 9-9

Outstrip - Right Rebel (Cockney Rebel)

Arron D'Arcy60%0/2−7lbP Owens
720243
7.0

Won twice over 7f last year, including at this course on the first occasion. In-and-out form so far this season, though ran well with hood applied when close third over C&D 6 days ago. Remains to be seen if the headgear will have the same effect this time.

Class Advantage

6/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par6/0224/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%6/02Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%12/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 40%17/07Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%31/07
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
5
OR 709/1
Dashing Dick silks

Miss Caroline Scott

Dashing Dick

8yo Gelding · 9-13

Cable Bay - Raggiante (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Taryn Langley60%W Stone60%
788365
4.0
Cheek pieces

Best when able to lead, including when third at this course (7f) in June. However, unable to get to the front when fifth of 8 here (6f) 19 days ago and he might not get his own way in this race either. Switches back to cheekpieces on return to further.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/0416/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par2/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par19/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par18/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%25/04Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 13%2/06Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%4/07Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%18/07
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
7
OR 6940/1
Decalogue silks

Robin Oliver And Partners

Decalogue

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Constitution - Sun Summers (Broken Vow)

C J Whiteley60%J A Osborne
8684
3.0

Didn't make much impression in maidens/novice, but some encouragement making handicap/turf debut when fourth of 6 at Sandown (7f) 13 days ago, despite still looking to be in need of the experience.

Class Advantage

8/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/1021/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/1127/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0524/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%8/10Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%21/11Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 22%27/05Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%24/07
Projected finish7th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend