13:55 · Newmarket

Knight Frank Suffolk Heritage Nursery

1mGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 689/2
Emerald Bay silks

Mr J Mitchell & Ballylinch Stud

2yo Gelding · 9-2

Bayside Boy - Sea Of Gems (Siyouni)

Darragh Keenan60%1/2George Scott60%
07611
7.0
Cheek pieces

Upped to 7f and fitted with cheekpieces, showed improved form when making a successful nursery debut at Beverley last month. Followed-up at Leicester 10 days later and he's respected with this extra furlong promising to suit.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/0523/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 10%11/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 45%23/05Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%1/06Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%14/07
Projected finish1st of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 7511/4
Lord Ragnar silks

Sarah Fern, Patricia James and Partner

2yo Colt · 9-9

Cotai Glory - St Clerans (Golden Horn)

Billy Loughnane90%E A L Dunlop
0212
6.0

Progressed with each of his 3 starts in maidens, overcoming interference to score at Newcastle (7f) in June. Again ran well when second of 5 in nursery at Lingfield 24 days ago and he can make another bold bid up in trip.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/058/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0613/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%23/05Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 89%8/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%13/07
Projected finish2nd of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 6866/1
High Calibre silks

Ace Stud

2yo Colt · 9-2

Lucky Vega - Good Liza (Kingman)

Joe Leavy60%0/2R Hannon80%
566
3.0Class ↓2

Well below market expectations on debut but has offered more in 2 subsequent outings, sixth of 12 in maiden at Wolverhampton (7f) 23 days ago. No surprise to see a better showing upped further in distance for nursery bow.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a29/0529/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0614/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength56%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 0%29/05Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%29/06Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 55%14/07
Projected finish3rd of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
OR 6840/1
Peggy's Lad silks

Mr Dave Stone & I Jardine

2yo Colt · 9-2

Dubawi Legend - Sollertia (Mastercraftsman)

Mark Winn60%1/1I Jardine
081
4.0

Sent off at 40/1 but found another chunk of improvement upped to 7f when winning 9-runner maiden at Newcastle 6 weeks ago. Task is now to build on latest effort making nursery debut over further again.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/0515/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%18/05Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 22%15/06Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%25/06
Projected finish4th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 6820/1
Woodhay Wayfarer silks

Mr Matthew Webber & Mr Toby Ward

2yo Filly · 9-2

Space Blues - Freiheit (Acclamation)

Saffie Osborne70%T Ward60%
855
3.0Class ↓2

Has shaped better than on debut in her 2 starts since, making late headway when fifth of 8 in maiden at Epsom (7f) 28 days ago. Looks ready for 1m as she makes the switch to a nursery.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/0510/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/069/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength64%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 36%23/05Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%10/06Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%9/07
Projected finish5th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend