18:20 · Gowran Park

Coolmore Stud Churchill Stakes (Listed)

1mGoing TBCClass 12YO onlyTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
3
OR 869/4
Sea Of Rain silks

Mrs J S Bolger

2yo Filly · 9-0

Naval Crown - Neophilia (Teofilo)

Colin Keane60%J S Bolger
42231
6.0Going 9.0

Improved to get off the mark at the fifth attempt in 12-runner maiden at Leopardstown (7f, good to firm, 9/4) 15 days ago, making all. Further progress needed in a deeper contest.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/0518/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move7
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%18/05Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%18/06Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 93%30/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 82%16/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%23/07
Projected finish1st of 6
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Top Pick1
OR 983/1
Full Volume silks

Ace Stud

2yo Colt · 9-5

Lucky Vega - Red Azalea (Galileo)

Shane Foley60%1/2Mrs J Harrington60%
612
6.0

Left debut effort well behind when winning a 9-runner maiden at Bellewstown in July. Improved again when close second to Venetian Power in minor event at Killarney (1m, good, 3/1) 12 days later. Can go well again.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/063/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0715/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 58%19/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%15/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Value2
8/1
City of Dubai silks

Bond Thoroughbred Limited

2yo Colt · 9-5

Mehmas - Angels Story (Galileo)

Billy Lee60%1/1P Twomey
1
10.0

€260,000 yearling. Mehmas colt. Was clued up and made a winning debut in the style of an above-average prospect at Killarney by ½-length from Francillon in July. Yard in good form and he's open to improvement.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/07
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%13/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
9/2
Venetian Power silks

Power Thoroughbreds PTY Limited

2yo Colt · 9-5

St Mark's Basilica - Power Zone (Lope De Vega)

J M Sheridan60%J P O'Brien
41
8.0

Showed promise amidst clear inexperience when 6 lengths fourth to Giant Sequoia in maiden at Curragh on debut in June and built on that when winning 5-runner minor event at Killarney (1m, good, 9/2) 18 days later from Full Volume. Looks capable of holding his own at a higher level.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0615/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%27/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%15/07
Projected finish4th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Market Fav5
1/1
Bellesque silks

Mrs E Irwin & Mrs John Magnier

2yo Filly · 9-0

St Mark's Basilica - Belesta (Xaar)

Dylan Browne McMonagle60%1/2J P O'Brien
21
6.0

Runner-up on debut at Leopardstown in July and justified short odds just a week later there (1m) having had the run of the race. Should have more to offer.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0716/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 92%9/07Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%16/07
Projected finish5th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
6
11/4
Sergei Diaghilev silks

Westerberg,Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,D Smith

2yo Colt · 9-5

Wootton Bassett - Embellish (Galileo)

Wayne Lordan60%A P O'Brien
19
4.0

Justified cramped odds in 8-runner maiden at the Curragh on debut in May. 11/4, 4¼ lengths ninth of 25 to King of Cloughan in listed Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot (6f, good to firm) in June. Looks sure to do better the more his stamina is drawn out and remains open to progress.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0517/06 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a17/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%23/05Pos 9 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 9 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%17/06
Projected finish6th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend