14:50 · Musselburgh

Champagne Pommery Brut Royal Handicap

5f 1yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market Fav3
OR 789/4
Montezuma silks

Bjordan,brianjordan,sjordan&Nmcconnell

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Blue Point - Seneca Falls (Invincible Spirit)

P Mulrennan60%1/8J S Goldie
120532
7.0Going 8.0
Hood

Confirmed promise of his return when getting off the mark in big-field handicap over C&D in April. Progress seemed to have stalled subsequently, but got back on the up when only narrowly denied in 5-runner contest here 7 days ago. Likely contender.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par12/0426/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par17/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par31/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%12/04Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 13 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 13 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%17/05Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%17/06Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%31/07
Projected finish1st of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
2
OR 8211/4
Jer Batt silks

Mr Laurence O'Kane

6yo Gelding · 10-0

Dragon Pulse - Nora Batt (Art Connoisseur)

William Pyle70%0/1T D Barron60%
337733
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Losing run is mounting up, but after 3 months off he shaped promisingly when third of 5 in handicap over this C&D 7 days ago (½ length behind Montezuma in second). Lurks on a dangerous mark given another try in cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/0917/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par25/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par4/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par26/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 67%20/09Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 45%25/10Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 54%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 82%26/04Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%31/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Top Pick1
OR 7018/1
Woohoo silks

Whit Walk Partnership

5yo Mare · 9-2

Acclamation - Jamboree Girl (Bahamian Bounty)

Lauren Young3/9−5lbJ S Goldie
272222
8.0

Gained a second C&D victory in April and has been knocking on the door of late, proving better than ever in defeat when second of 20 at Goodwood (6f) 10 days ago. Strong claims back down in trip/grade.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0625/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par28/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%5/06Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%5/07Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%17/07Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 95%28/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
OR 805/1
Big Fun silks

J Blackburn & Partner 1

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Showcasing - Apricot Moon (Bated Breath)

T Eaves60%1/5K A Ryan
221747
5.0Going 8.0

Landed the odds in 4-runner C&D maiden last summer. Made the frame on handicap/seasonal debut at Thirsk in April, before seventh of 12 at the same course the following month. Eased 2 lb in the weights but still looks to have something to find.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0515/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par18/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par31/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 89%23/05Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 1/6 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/6 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 77%18/04Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 45%31/05
Projected finish4th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
5
OR 798/1
Tiva silks

Akela Thoroughbreds Limited

4yo Filly · 9-11

Mehmas - Sarasota Bay (Coach House)

D Tudhope60%1/6D O'Meara90%
525463
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

3-time winner in 2025, including back-to-back 5f handicaps in August. Yet to score this season, but with visor quickly refitted she left behind a lesser effort when third at Thirsk 6 days ago. Could be in the mix racing off her last winning mark.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/0427/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par5/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%25/04Pos 2 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 2 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%5/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 29%3/07Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 82%1/08
Projected finish5th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
6
OR 6518/1
Ecclefechan silks

Mr Gerry McGladery

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Bated Breath - Bahia Star (Twilight Son)

L Morris70%J Ryan60%
549865
3.0

Remains a maiden and hasn't been in much form since making the frame at Newmarket (6f) in May, finding things tough back up into class 4 company when fifth of 7 at Newmarket (5f) 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/0415/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%25/04Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 57%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%23/05Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%9/07Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%17/07
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend