4
Stapleford Park
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 54
Brighton · Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap · 5f 60y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength65%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Lingfield | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-29 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/06/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 01/09/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/01/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 20/04/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |