5

Napps Way

2yo Filly · 8-13

Brighton · JenningsBet In Portsmouth EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 215y

#4

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

66/1, didn't achieve much although wasn't knocked about in 6f Chepstow maiden on debut a fortnight ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chepstow 24/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f16y GF 12824/075
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Chepstow57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20267th66/10%33%+0.33