2
Dogged
9yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 46
Brighton · JenningsBet UK's Largest Independent Bookmaker Classified Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Brighton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Brighton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 16/10/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 28/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |