3
Fitzmaurice
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 44
Brighton · JenningsBet UK's Largest Independent Bookmaker Classified Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Chepstow | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Leicester | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Lingfield | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/10/2025 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 07/01/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 07/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 13/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |