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5

Outrace

6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 44

Brighton · JenningsBet UK's Largest Independent Bookmaker Classified Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed at Bath last spring but has lost his way since, offering little having been gelded on return at Salisbury (1m, good) recently. Back up in trip but losing run looks set to continue despite the drop in class.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 08/03/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m Std 133 · below its mark08/03/2025 · OR 63 par8/036OR 636 @ Bath 04/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark04/04/2025 · OR 61 par6 @ Bath 05/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 59 · 1m Fm 135 · beat its mark05/05/2025 · OR 59 par5/056OR 596 @ Chepstow 14/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 58 · 1m14y Goo 138 · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 58 par6 @ Kempton 01/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 56 · 1m Sta 132 · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 56 par1/106OR 566 @ Southwell 31/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 54 · 1m13y Std 135 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 54 par6 @ Lingfield 25/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 51 · 1m1y Std 130 · beat its mark25/11/2025 · OR 51 par25/116OR 516 @ Southwell 03/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 48 · 7f14y Std 128 · beat its mark03/01/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Salisbury 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 45 · 1m Goo 131 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 45 par25/076OR 45projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Salisbury64th4th0
2026-01-03Southwell611th11th0
2025-11-25Lingfield610th10th0
2025-10-31Southwell610th10th0
2025-10-01Kempton610th10th0
2025-08-14Chepstow611th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0314/0825/1125/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/03/202511th18/15%0%-0.05
04/04/20257th20/10%45%+0.45
05/05/20253rd10/147%78%+0.30
14/08/202511th16/116%17%+0.01
01/10/202510th17/255%0%-0.55
31/10/202510th9/153%0%-0.53
25/11/202510th40/10%18%+0.18
03/01/202611th28/10%0%0.00
25/07/20264th10/147%40%-0.07