7

Cayman Tai
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 73
Brighton · Harry Bloom Memorial 'Brighton Bullet' Handicap · 5f 215y
#4
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Sandown | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Chepstow | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength13%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |