7

Cayman Tai

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 73

Brighton · Harry Bloom Memorial 'Brighton Bullet' Handicap · 5f 215y

#4

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Doubled his tally at Southwell in May and not disgraced when fifth of 17 at York (5f, good to firm) just under a fortnight ago. Remains 5 lb above last winning mark and will probably find a few too strong again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 69 · 6f Std 135 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 69 par27/035OR 695 @ Wolverhampton 04/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 70 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Bath 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 5f10y Fm 130 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 70 par29/045OR 705 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 68 · 5f21y Goo 133 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 68 · 4f214y Std 133 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 68 par21/055OR 685 @ Chepstow 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 68 · 5f16y Goo 135 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 68 par4 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 76 · 5f10y Goo 131 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 76 par12/064OR 764 @ Salisbury 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 74 · 5f Goo 136 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 74 par4 @ York 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR 73 · 5f Goo 159 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 73 par25/074OR 73projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25York45th5th0
2026-06-30Salisbury43rd3rd0
2026-06-12Sandown49th9th0
2026-05-29Chepstow52nd3rd1
2026-05-21Southwell51st2nd1
2026-05-11Windsor52nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0311/0512/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength13%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20262nd7/163%88%+0.24
04/04/20265th7/491%50%-0.41
29/04/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
11/05/20262nd11/486%83%-0.02
21/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
29/05/20262nd5/696%75%-0.21
12/06/20269th12/137%0%-0.37
30/06/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27
25/07/20265th28/10%75%+0.75