10
Duskaura
3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 70
Brighton · Harry Bloom Memorial 'Brighton Bullet' Handicap · 5f 215y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Goodwood | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 23/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 15/08/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 17/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |