6
Grey Horizon
3yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 78
Brighton · Harry Bloom Memorial 'Brighton Bullet' Handicap · 5f 215y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
81%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Bath | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Chepstow | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 17/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |