4

Lequinto
9yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 77
Brighton · Harry Bloom Memorial 'Brighton Bullet' Handicap · 5f 215y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Sandown | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Windsor | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Lingfield | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |