6
Bated Breeze
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 49
Brighton · Bet In Over 200 Shops Nationwide With JenningsBet Handicap · 5f 215y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Brighton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Brighton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Bath | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 23/07/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 25/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 18/09/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.46 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 29/05/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |