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4

Big Time Rascal

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 52

Brighton · Bet In Over 200 Shops Nationwide With JenningsBet Handicap · 5f 215y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

46%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Finished a runner-up in handicap company this spring and didn't need to be at best to double his career tally in a C&D classified event in June. Not so good under a penalty the following week and has since moved yards. First-time tongue tie goes on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Brighton 31/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 53 · 5f60y Gd 133 · beat its mark31/08/2025 · OR 53 par31/086OR 532 @ Bath 14/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 51 · 5f160y Hvy 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 51 par6 @ Brighton 29/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 50 · 5f215y Goo 129 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 50 par29/096OR 506 @ Wolverhampton 24/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 49 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark24/03/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Lingfield 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 48 · 6f1y Std 128 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 48 par30/046OR 486 @ Bath 22/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 48 · 5f160y Goo 128 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 50 · 5f60y Gd 135 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 50 par9/066OR 506 @ Brighton 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 50 · 5f215y GF 135 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Brighton 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 50 · 5f215y GF 140 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 50 par7/076OR 50projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Brighton65th5th0
2026-06-30Brighton61st1st0
2026-06-09Brighton64th4th0
2026-05-22Bath62nd2nd0
2026-04-30Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-03-24Wolverhampton66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0824/039/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength84%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20255th9/153%43%-0.10
14/09/20259th33/10%20%+0.20
29/09/20255th8/158%56%-0.02
24/03/20266th16/116%50%+0.34
30/04/20262nd13/266%89%+0.23
22/05/20262nd13/266%92%+0.26
09/06/20264th7/491%57%-0.34
30/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
07/07/20265th7/491%60%-0.31