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Mart

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 55

Brighton · Bet In Over 200 Shops Nationwide With JenningsBet Handicap · 5f 215y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who is on a long losing run but knocking on the door of late, including on first start for this yard when third of 7 to Dragon God at Yarmouth (5f, good to firm) 5 days ago. Tongue tie worn that day retained and holds solid place claims again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength65%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 03/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 67 · 6f20y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/03/2026 · OR 67 par3/035OR 675 @ Wolverhampton 16/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 65 · 6f20y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/03/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 65 · 6f1y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 65 par25/035OR 655 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 63 · 6f1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Redcar 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 60 · 5f217y Goo 156 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 60 par26/056OR 606 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 59 · 6f3y Sft 130 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 59 par5 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 59 · 6f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 59 par19/065OR 596 @ Yarmouth 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 57 · 1m3y GF 137 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Yarmouth 02/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 55 · 5f42y GF 135 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 55 par2/086OR 55projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02Yarmouth63rd3rd0
2026-07-02Yarmouth64th4th0
2026-06-19Newmarket56th5th+1
2026-06-10Yarmouth63rd3rd0
2026-05-26Redcar64th4th0
2026-04-27Lingfield55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0327/0419/062/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength68%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/03/20266th10/147%38%-0.10
16/03/20264th11/142%50%+0.08
25/03/20267th14/126%45%+0.19
27/04/20265th5/287%0%-0.87
26/05/20264th13/266%73%+0.07
10/06/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
19/06/20266th12/137%67%+0.30
02/07/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
02/08/20263rd6/168%67%-0.02