Pennine Way
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 56
Brighton · Bet Responsibly With JenningsBet Handicap · 6f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Doncaster | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Yarmouth | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Catterick | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-23 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 03/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 54% | -0.20 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |