2

Solar Phoenix

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 59

Brighton · Bet Responsibly With JenningsBet Handicap · 6f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Debut fifth at Bath last October wasn't devoid of promise but unable to match that form both starts soon after. Possibly in need of the outing on return/handicap debut at Bath (1m, good) 8 weeks ago and first-time blinkers are reached for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bath 09/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS9/1054 @ Bath 30/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS30/1044 @ Lingfield 20/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f1y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS20/1146 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m Gd 130 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 60 par13/066OR 60projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-13Bath610th10th0
2025-11-20Lingfield46th4th+2
2025-10-30Bath45th3rd+2
2025-10-09Bath55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1030/1020/1113/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20255th28/10%56%+0.56
30/10/20255th5/174%60%-0.14
20/11/20256th33/10%44%+0.44
13/06/202610th17/255%31%-0.24