2

Solar Phoenix
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 59
Brighton · Bet Responsibly With JenningsBet Handicap · 6f 210y
#6
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength74%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Lingfield | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-30 | Bath | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-10-09 | Bath | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 30/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 20/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 31% | -0.24 |