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5

Superstorm

3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 50

Brighton · Bet Responsibly With JenningsBet Handicap · 6f 210y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who ran up to his best equipped with cheekpieces when second at Kempton (7f) in April but hasn't replicated that form in 4 subsequent runs, latest in a change of headgear (first-time visor). Better on all-weather than turf so others more appealing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 14/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 62 · 7f1y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 62 par14/105OR 625 @ Southwell 03/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 59 · 7f14y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 59 par6 @ Kempton 19/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 59 · 1m Sta 130 · beat its mark19/11/2025 · OR 59 par19/116OR 596 @ Kempton 30/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 57 · 7f Sta 132 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Kempton 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 56 · 7f Sta 126 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 56 par30/046OR 566 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 57 · 7f Goo 132 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 56 · 7f3y Sft 131 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 56 par10/066OR 566 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 55 · 6f Goo 130 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Yarmouth 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 52 · 6f3y GF 123 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 52 par15/076OR 52projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Yarmouth64th4th0
2026-06-29Pontefract66th6th0
2026-06-10Yarmouth66th6th0
2026-05-19Lingfield64th4th0
2026-04-30Kempton62nd2nd0
2026-03-30Kempton63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1030/0310/0615/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/10/20257th22/10%54%+0.54
03/11/20253rd9/153%67%+0.14
19/11/20257th9/153%50%-0.03
30/03/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
30/04/20262nd8/158%91%+0.33
19/05/20264th7/163%73%+0.10
10/06/20266th15/261%62%+0.01
29/06/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
15/07/20264th5/174%40%-0.34