3

Anafah (A)

7yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 79

Brighton · Al Nujaifi Racing Series Fillies & Mares Conditions Stakes - Arab Race · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Toulouse 25/05/2023 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 11925/05C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 10/07/2023 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12310/07C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2023-07-10La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd0
2023-05-25Toulouse?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0510/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20232nd6/168%93%+0.24
10/07/20232nd6/594%90%-0.04