Victoria (A)
6yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 60
Brighton · Al Nujaifi Racing Series Fillies & Mares Conditions Stakes - Arab Race · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Lingfield | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Bath | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Windsor | ? | 2nd | -2th | +4 |
| 2025-06-23 | Wolverhampton | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-07 | Wolverhampton | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-09-15 | Doncaster | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/06/2024 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 18/08/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 15/09/2024 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 07/04/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 23/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 28/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |